Here’s Why All’s Not Well for India on the Ladakh Front

A victim of counter-terror operations in Kashmir, India’s disenchanted army was surprised when the Chinese PLA planned and cleverly executed three to five kilometers of depth in northern Sikkim and eastern Ladakh last month. Beginning on May 5, the Chinese not only captured Indian territory, but also defended it in an audacious manner. The Indian Army was surprised by the PLA maneuver and showed its complete disregard for the ground reality. Indian military officials believe there is now some “shortage” in the deployment of the Chinese contingent, as it is at best a cold rest because there has been no disintegration of the structures built by China, and which now represent new facts on the ground Huh.

The world knows that as a result of the 2017 Doklam crisis abused by India, the PLA’s Western Theater Command – which is tasked with 3,488 km of Line of Actual Control (LAC) – now has at least two group armies, three air forces. Chairs, and a rocket force base. More than 200,000 troops in the Tibet Autonomous Region (TAR), with a total of 13 Joint Armed Brigades, Support Arms, Support Services, Border Guards and Armed Police. They have built an excellent military ecosystem and realistic combat training has been conducted. Given the growing military threat, the Indian Army should be prepared for similar surprises. Without blaming the intelligence services.

The recent demonstration of PLA power was possibly approved by General Xu Qiliang, vice-chairman of the Central Military Commission. The Commander-in-Chief, Xi Jinping, Xu, a former commander of the PLA Air Force (PLAAF), was the architect of the 2015 military reforms and is responsible for the differences between the PLA and the Pakistan Army through a joint war between the three. Services.

The Indian Army should also not be caught up on the growing threat on the Siachen Glacier, which since April 1984 has been at a huge cost to men and finances. Speaking on 15 May in a webinar organized by the Institute for Defense Studies and Analysis (IDSA), Army Chief General M.M. Narwana said in the context of the two-front war, “It is a possibility. It’s not like it’s going to happen every time. We have to survive for all contingencies that can happen. ”

Probably he had waged a two-front local war in northern Ladakh from Siachen to sub-sector North (SSN). His ailing predecessor, and now the chief of defense staff, General Bipin Rawat, on 21 October 2019, advised Defense Minister Rajnath Singh to open Siachen area from base camp to Kumar post for tourism. Announced within weeks of the tectonic development of 5 August 2019 – which reorganized the state of Jammu and Kashmir into two union territories of Jammu and Kashmir and Ladakh – the decision would have upset both Pakistan and China. Especially Beijing, whose two gradual protests over the creation of the Ladakh UT, which turned it into a status quo, fell on deaf ears in New Delhi. The current PLA intrusion is the result of the same. Also, as we shall see.

Localized Two-War One Possibility

With the PLA now advancing strongly into the Galawan Valley (no longer disputed territory), it, along with the Pakistan Army, is well prepared to hem in the Indian Army on the Siachen Glacier from two sides – Pakistan Army West. And PLA on the East. A localized two-front battle is a real possibility as to (a) what are the credible political aims and military objectives of both partners; (B) They have been doing joint combat training since 2011 in the air (Pakistan Air Force-PLA Air Force Shaheen exercises) and on the ground (Pakistan Army-PLA Army warrior exercises), interestingly, in northern Ladakh, Which also includes Siachen. ; And (c) has the capacity, capacity and political will to achieve its objectives.

Held in August and September (close to the border with North Ladakh), the month-long Shaheen-VIII joint exercise was described as the most advanced. According to PLA commander Shin Shin,

“The Shaheen Series joint exercise began as a one-on-one dog fight, but has now evolved into systematic mock battles featuring more combat aircraft, multiple military branches that include army on the ground that missiles and electronic counter- Deploy measures. ”

Another commentary on the exercise stated that there were two opposing teams: the Red Team consisting of the PLA Air Force, and the Blue Team PLAAAF and the Pakistan Air Force were formed. There is no need to expand the scope of such exercise.

What might be the strategic, political, military and diplomatic objectives of a possible joint combat?

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